com.textforagents/forecast-calibration-ledger

up checked 2026-11-11T07:38:21.263Z

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Publisher-provided title

Forecast Calibration Ledger: agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored

Publisher-provided description

Signed agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored per cohort, with a self-killing trust weight.

Summary by lookupd

Lets an agent log its own probability forecasts, resolve them against run records, and query calibration scores and trust weight.

Install

Claude Code, remote (streamable-http)

claude mcp add --transport http forecast-calibration-ledger https://textforagents.com/products/forecast-calibration-ledger/mcp

Codex, remote (streamable-http)

codex mcp add forecast-calibration-ledger --url https://textforagents.com/products/forecast-calibration-ledger/mcp

Cursor, remote (streamable-http) → .cursor/mcp.json

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "forecast-calibration-ledger": {
      "url": "https://textforagents.com/products/forecast-calibration-ledger/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Other clients: docs. Or tell your agent: Set up lookupd for me: read https://lookupd.com/agent.md and follow it.

Tools (4 tools)

Publisher-provided text

• fcl_forecast Record a signed forecast bound to run_id. Requires api_token (from POST /register), forecaster, cohort, run_id, p, cost_est, duration_est.
• fcl_resolve Resolve a forecast against its run record ($0.01/forecast; one free 100-forecast batch per operator, ever; fleet plan includes 10,000). Requires api_token, run_
• fcl_calibration Calibration query: Brier, skill vs climatology +/- SEM, bins, cost/duration error, trust weight ($0.005/query; included with fleet plan). Requires api_token, fo
• fcl_weight Trust weight / kill state for your forecaster+cohort (free). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort.

Details

• Version: 1.0.0
• Transports: streamable-http
• Uptime (7 days): 100%
• Median latency: 188 ms
• First indexed: 2026-11-01T08:59:11.595Z
• Last seen in registry: 2026-11-01T08:59:11.595Z

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